In the past high unemployment has equated to lower mortgage rates. With conforming and FHA mortgage guidelines getting stricter, many consumers are running in circles in search for a home loan that does not exist in this economic climate. With the Federal Reserve’s commitment getting stronger, the current FHA mortgage rate has fallen below the 4% threshold for the south after 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Many lenders have expressed hope that a new President may encourage the repeal of the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill that has increased costs and “red tape” for the home finance sector. Many companies are saying that rising mortgage costs have not helped first time home buyers get into the housing game.
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans said the drop in the unemployment rate to 8.5% may be partially reversed in coming months. “I’m a little concerned that the most recent improvement is going to be transitory and it might move up above 8.5%,” Evans said in response to audience questions after a speech today in Carmel, Indiana. Evans said he forecasts that “at the end of the year, we’re not going to be very different from 8.5% unemployment.”
Fed policy makers will discuss at their January 24-25 meeting in Washington whether more steps are needed to bolster an expanding U.S. economy. Employers last year added 1.64 million workers, the best year for the American worker since 2006. Even with the gain, little headway has been made in recovering the 8.75 million jobs lost as a result of the recession that ended in June 2009.
If Unemployment Rises Will Home Loan Rates Continue to be Available at Record Lows?
The Labor Department said last week that the unemployment rate dropped to 8.5%, down from 8.7% in November, 8.9% in October and 9.4% in December 2010. Speaking to reporters after his speech, Evans said he “can’t discount the possibility” that the “headwinds” facing the economy could cause growth to slow, as happened in the summer of 2010 and 2011.
Mortgage-backed securities “could be a perfectly fine choice for those asset purchases,” Evans said. “Home loan might have a more direct effect on the economy.” The Fed purchased $1.25 trillion in mortgage securities in its first round of large scale asset purchases, or quantitative easing. Including both rounds of asset purchases, the Fed purchased a total of $2.3 trillion in assets.


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